525 
WTNT21 KNHC 180246
TCMAT1
 
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012024
0300 UTC TUE JUN 18 2024
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  93.0W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  75 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......250NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  93.0W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  93.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.6N  92.8W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...250NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 22.6N  93.6W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...250NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 23.2N  95.3W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...250NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 23.5N  96.9W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...250NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 23.7N  98.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...250NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 23.8N  99.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N  93.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 18/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE