Tropical Depression Two Forecast Advisory Number 1

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUN 28 2024


000
WTNT22 KNHC 282057 CCA
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022024
2100 UTC FRI JUN 28 2024

CORRECTED DEPRESSION INITIAL FORWARD MOTION.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.1N  41.9W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.1N  41.9W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.0N  41.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z  9.4N  44.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 10.1N  48.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 10.7N  51.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 11.3N  54.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 12.0N  58.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 13.0N  61.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 15.5N  69.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  90NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 17.5N  76.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  90NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.1N  41.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 



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