Hurricane Beryl Forecast Advisory Number 22

Issued at 0300 UTC THU JUL 04 2024


000
WTNT22 KNHC 040232
TCMAT2
 
HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022024
0300 UTC THU JUL 04 2024
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  79.2W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  961 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE  80SE  50SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE  45SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  79.2W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  78.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.5N  81.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE  80SE  50SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.1N  85.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.8N  87.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 20.7N  90.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE   0SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.7N  92.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.8N  94.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 24.6N  97.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 26.7N  98.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N  79.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 04/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/HAGEN
 
 



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