Tropical Depression Four Forecast Advisory Number 4

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT AUG 03 2024


000
WTNT24 KNHC 030856
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042024
0900 UTC SAT AUG 03 2024
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  80.7W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  80.7W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  80.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 23.4N  82.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 25.3N  83.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 27.5N  84.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 29.1N  83.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 30.4N  83.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  80SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 31.2N  82.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  20SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 32.0N  80.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  60SW  40NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 33.0N  79.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  70SW  40NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N  80.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 03/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
 
 



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