000
WTNT25 KNHC 132046
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052024
2100 UTC TUE AUG 13 2024
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  64.1W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE   0SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE  60SE   0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  64.1W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  63.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 19.3N  65.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  30SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 21.3N  67.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 23.4N  68.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 25.4N  68.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 27.2N  67.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 29.1N  66.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 140SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 32.7N  65.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...170NE 180SE 120SW 130NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 36.8N  64.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 180SE 120SW 130NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N  64.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 14/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG