356 
WTNT25 KNHC 140850
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052024
0900 UTC WED AUG 14 2024
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  66.6W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 130SE   0SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 145SE  60SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  66.6W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  66.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 21.1N  67.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  40SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 23.6N  68.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 25.7N  68.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 27.6N  67.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 140SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 29.5N  66.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 140SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 31.4N  65.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 130SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 35.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 130SW 130NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 40.5N  62.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 150SW 110NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N  66.6W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 14/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE