000
WTNT25 KNHC 170231
TCMAT5
 
HURRICANE ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052024
0300 UTC SAT AUG 17 2024
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N  65.2W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT.......160NE 240SE 110SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 300SE 270SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N  65.2W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.0N  65.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 32.6N  64.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  35SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 220SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 33.7N  64.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 190SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 35.3N  63.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 38.1N  61.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 110SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 41.5N  59.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 130SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 45.1N  54.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 51.3N  36.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 185SE 180SW  50NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 54.7N  17.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 200SE 120SW   0NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.4N  65.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 17/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI