000
WTNT25 KNHC 180842
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052024
0900 UTC SUN AUG 18 2024
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.6N  63.0W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 120SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 270SE 270SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.6N  63.0W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.2N  63.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 36.4N  62.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 180SE 120SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 39.4N  60.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 42.9N  56.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 130SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 46.4N  50.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 49.0N  41.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 180SE 170SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 51.0N  31.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...110NE 190SE 170SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.6N  63.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH