858 
WTNT24 KNHC 232051
TCMAT4
 
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092024
2100 UTC MON SEP 23 2024
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  82.2W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  82.2W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  81.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 19.0N  83.0W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 19.9N  84.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 21.1N  85.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 23.0N  86.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 190SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 25.4N  85.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...220NE 210SE 140SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 28.9N  84.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 140SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 35.5N  84.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 39.5N  88.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N  82.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 24/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART