000
WTNT22 KNHC 030237
TCMAT2
 
HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122024
0300 UTC THU OCT 03 2024
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  44.5W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......190NE 190SE  80SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N  44.5W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  44.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.4N  45.6W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.7N  47.1W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  90SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 23.1N  48.7W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 24.8N  49.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 27.0N  50.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 30.0N  50.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...130NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 120SW 160NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 36.8N  45.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...220NE 230SE 170SW 150NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 43.9N  35.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT...260NE 280SE 210SW 230NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N  44.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI