000
WTNT22 KNHC 030837
TCMAT2
 
HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122024
0900 UTC THU OCT 03 2024
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  45.0W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 300SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  45.0W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N  44.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.8N  46.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 22.1N  47.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 23.5N  49.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  35SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 25.4N  50.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 110SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 28.0N  50.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 31.3N  49.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...130NE 120SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...210NE 230SE 150SW 170NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 38.5N  42.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...130NE 140SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 280SE 220SW 170NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 44.7N  30.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 140SW 100NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 240SW 260NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N  45.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG