000
WTNT22 KNHC 041431
TCMAT2
 
HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122024
1500 UTC FRI OCT 04 2024
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  48.9W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  939 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT.......170NE 170SE 120SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 330SE 300SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  48.9W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  48.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 24.4N  49.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 27.0N  50.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  50SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 30.3N  49.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 65NE  55SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 120SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 33.8N  48.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 65NE  65SE  40SW  45NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 210SE 140SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 37.6N  44.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...130NE 130SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...220NE 240SE 170SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 40.9N  39.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...130NE 140SE 100SW  80NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 190SW 170NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 45.3N  25.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.
34 KT...230NE 260SE 210SW 180NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 48.0N   9.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 100SE 100SW  30NW.
34 KT...280NE 290SE 240SW 240NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N  48.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN