000
WTNT22 KNHC 070231
TCMAT2
 
HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122024
0300 UTC MON OCT 07 2024
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.6N  43.6W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  22 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  964 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE 100SE  90SW  60NW.
50 KT.......160NE 150SE 110SW 110NW.
34 KT.......260NE 270SE 190SW 210NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 480SE 540SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.6N  43.6W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.9N  44.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 41.0N  39.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  70SE  60SW   0NW.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW  90NW.
34 KT...260NE 290SE 220SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 42.9N  33.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 140SE 120SW  70NW.
34 KT...220NE 290SE 250SW 190NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 43.5N  25.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 100SE 100SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 270SE 250SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 43.8N  16.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  70SE  70SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 240SE 240SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 45.6N   6.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 180SE 180SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 48.1N   3.7E...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 130SE 150SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.6N  43.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI