000
WTNT23 KNHC 091452
TCMAT3
 
HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
1500 UTC WED OCT 09 2024
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  48.4W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  25SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  48.4W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  48.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 22.5N  49.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 23.4N  49.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.6N  50.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 26.4N  49.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  40SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 28.7N  47.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  40SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 31.1N  44.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  80SE  50SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 34.5N  35.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  90SE  50SW   0NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 35.9N  26.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N  48.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN