000
WTNT22 KNHC 030245
TCMAT2
 
HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022024
0300 UTC WED JUL 03 2024
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  72.7W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  947 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......160NE 100SE  60SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 210SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  72.7W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  71.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.2N  75.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.1N  78.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.7N  82.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.3N  85.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.1N  88.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.0N  90.8W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 22.7N  94.8W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  90NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 25.0N  97.5W...ON COAST
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N  72.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 03/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH