000
WTNT25 KNHC 172031
TCMAT5
 
HURRICANE ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052024
2100 UTC SAT AUG 17 2024
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N  64.0W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 120SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..315NE 305SE 270SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N  64.0W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.0N  64.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 34.3N  63.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 120SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 36.5N  62.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 39.5N  60.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 43.0N  57.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  35SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 140SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 46.4N  50.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE 180SE 170SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 48.9N  42.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 190SE 170SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.3N  64.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 18/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG