000
WTNT22 KNHC 201451
TCMAT2
 
HURRICANE FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072022
1500 UTC TUE SEP 20 2022
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TURKS AND CAICOS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
ISLAND...LONG
CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE NEARING COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FIONA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  71.4W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  961 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  71.4W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N  71.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 23.0N  71.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 24.4N  71.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 26.1N  71.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 28.3N  70.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 31.1N  68.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 34.7N  65.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 45.0N  60.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 52.0N  59.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N  71.4W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 20/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH