Issued at 0430 UTC WED SEP 28 2022
000 WTNT24 KNHC 280419 TCMAT4 HURRICANE IAN SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092022 0430 UTC WED SEP 28 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM BIG PINE KEY WESTWARD TO KEY WEST. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CHOKOLOSKEE TO ANCLOTE RIVER...INCLUDING TAMPA BAY * DRY TORTUGAS A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SUWANNEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO FLAMINGO * TAMPA BAY * LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM BIG PINE KEY WESTWARD TO KEY WEST * DRY TORTUGAS * FLAGLER/VOLUSIA LINE TO THE MOUTH OF THE ST. MARY'S RIVER * ST. JOHNS RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CUBAN PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...MAYABEQUE...AND MATANZAS * INDIAN PASS TO THE ANCLOTE RIVER * ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS * FLAMINGO TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER * FLAMINGO TO CHOKOLOSKEE * LAKE OKEECHOBEE * FLORIDA BAY * BIMINI AND GRAND BAHAMA ISLANDS A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE CARD SOUND BRIDGE WESTWARD TO EAST OF BIG PINE KEY * FLORIDA BAY * MOUTH OF ST. MARY'S RIVER TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 82.9W AT 28/0430Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 953 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 35SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 180SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 82.9W AT 28/0430Z AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 83.0W FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 26.0N 82.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 27.2N 81.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.2N 81.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...280NE 120SE 140SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.3N 80.8W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...310NE 120SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.6N 80.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...260NE 130SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 32.7N 81.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 36.0N 82.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N 82.9W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 28/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN/BERG
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