000
WTNT22 KNHC 031439
TCMAT2
 
HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122024
1500 UTC THU OCT 03 2024
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  45.9W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 330SE 270SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  45.9W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  45.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.4N  47.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.8N  48.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 24.6N  49.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 26.8N  50.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 110SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 29.7N  49.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 33.0N  48.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...130NE 120SE  80SW  95NW.
34 KT...220NE 240SE 150SW 170NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 40.3N  40.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...130NE 140SE 120SW  80NW.
34 KT...240NE 280SE 220SW 170NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 45.4N  27.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...110NE 140SE 140SW 100NW.
34 KT...280NE 280SE 240SW 260NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N  45.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY/E.ADAMS