000
WTNT22 KNHC 032038
TCMAT2
 
HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122024
2100 UTC THU OCT 03 2024
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N  46.7W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 330SE 270SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N  46.7W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  46.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 22.1N  47.8W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 23.7N  49.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 25.7N  50.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 28.4N  50.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 110SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 31.7N  49.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 140SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 35.2N  46.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...130NE 130SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...230NE 260SE 170SW 170NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 42.1N  36.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...130NE 140SE 120SW  80NW.
34 KT...240NE 260SE 220SW 190NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 46.4N  23.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW  90NW.
34 KT...280NE 240SE 220SW 270NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N  46.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY