000
WTNT22 KNHC 040231
TCMAT2
 
HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122024
0300 UTC FRI OCT 04 2024
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  47.5W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  935 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 330SE 300SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  47.5W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N  47.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.5N  48.6W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 24.4N  49.7W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 26.8N  50.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 30.0N  49.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 110SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 33.6N  48.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 140SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 37.3N  44.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...130NE 130SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...230NE 260SE 170SW 170NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 43.5N  33.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...130NE 140SE 120SW  80NW.
34 KT...240NE 260SE 220SW 190NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 47.0N  16.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW  90NW.
34 KT...280NE 240SE 220SW 270NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N  47.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI