000
WTNT22 KNHC 040844
TCMAT2
 
HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122024
0900 UTC FRI OCT 04 2024
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  48.1W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  934 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......170NE 170SE 110SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 330SE 300SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  48.1W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  47.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 23.6N  49.2W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 25.7N  50.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  50SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 110SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 28.7N  50.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 65NE  55SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 120SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 32.3N  49.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 65NE  65SE  40SW  45NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 210SE 140SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 35.8N  46.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...130NE 130SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...220NE 240SE 170SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 39.8N  42.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...130NE 140SE 100SW  80NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 190SW 170NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 45.0N  29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.
34 KT...230NE 260SE 210SW 180NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 47.0N  14.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 100SE 100SW  30NW.
34 KT...280NE 290SE 240SW 240NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N  48.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART