000
WTNT22 KNHC 051451
TCMAT2
 
HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122024
1500 UTC SAT OCT 05 2024
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N  50.3W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  949 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......200NE 190SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 360SE 360SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N  50.3W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N  50.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 30.1N  50.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 33.6N  48.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 220SE 140SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 37.1N  45.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW  90NW.
34 KT...220NE 240SE 170SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 40.4N  40.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 200SW 190NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 42.5N  33.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...110NE 150SE 130SW  90NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 220SW 190NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 43.5N  24.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 125SE 105SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 270SE 230SW 180NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 47.2N   5.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  70SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 210SE 210SW 130NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 54.9N   8.2E...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE 150SW 200NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N  50.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY