000
WTNT25 KNHC 120836
TCMAT5
 
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052024
0900 UTC MON AUG 12 2024
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  52.5W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  22 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  52.5W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  51.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.0N  55.8W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 15.7N  59.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 16.5N  62.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 17.9N  64.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.4N  66.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 21.0N  66.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE  90SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 25.0N  67.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 110SW 130NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 29.5N  65.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 130SW 130NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N  52.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 12/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN