Potential Tropical Cyclone One Forecast Advisory Number 4

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUN 18 2024


703 
WTNT21 KNHC 181449
TCMAT1
 
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012024
1500 UTC TUE JUN 18 2024
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  92.7W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  75 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......250NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE   0SE   0SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  92.7W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N  92.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 22.5N  93.3W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...300NE   0SE   0SW 300NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 23.0N  95.2W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...360NE   0SE   0SW 360NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 23.3N  97.5W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...360NE  60SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 23.3N 100.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N  92.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 18/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 




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