Issued at 1500 UTC MON NOV 07 2022
000 WTNT22 KNHC 071512 CCA TCMAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2... CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172022 1500 UTC MON NOV 07 2022 CORRECTED TO ADD LAKE OKEECHOBEE IN THE WATCH AND WARNING CHANGES. CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO HALLANDALE BEACH AND FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF GEORGIA AND THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA SOUTHWARD TO HALLANDALE BEACH FLORIDA THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA SOUTHWARD TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE...AND SOUTH OF HALLANDALE BEACH TO NORTH OF OCEAN REEF. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS * EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO HALLANDALE BEACH * LAKE OKEECHOBEE A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * HALLANDALE BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ALTAMAHA SOUND SOUTHWARD TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE * HALLANDALE BEACH TO NORTH OF OCEAN REEF A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...ELSEWHERE IN FLORIDA...AND ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NICOLE. ADDITIONAL WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 69.6W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......240NE 240SE 0SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 60SE 60SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 69.6W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 69.1W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 27.0N 70.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...190NE 200SE 0SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 27.7N 71.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...210NE 150SE 50SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 27.6N 74.1W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...320NE 100SE 150SW 320NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 26.9N 76.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 0SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...370NE 140SE 170SW 310NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 26.6N 78.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 30SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...330NE 90SE 120SW 285NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 27.3N 81.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...240NE 80SE 90SW 200NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 29.4N 83.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 33.3N 79.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.2N 69.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 07/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN/BROWN
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