000
WTNT22 KNHC 142040
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072022
2100 UTC WED SEP 14 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO
RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.  TROPICAL STORM
WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
THIS EVENING OR TONIGHT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  50.5W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  50.5W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  50.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.9N  52.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.0N  54.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.1N  57.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 17.1N  59.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 17.3N  62.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.6N  64.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 18.4N  68.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 20.0N  70.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N  50.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN