000
WTNT25 KNHC 130241
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052024
0300 UTC TUE AUG 13 2024
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  59.6W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  22 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  59.6W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  58.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.4N  62.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.7N  64.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.5N  66.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 21.7N  67.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 24.0N  68.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 26.1N  67.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 29.9N  65.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  90SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 120NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 32.7N  64.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 120SW 120NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N  59.6W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 13/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH