000
WTNT25 KNHC 131456
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052024
1500 UTC TUE AUG 13 2024
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  62.6W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  60SE   0SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  62.6W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  62.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 18.0N  64.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.8N  66.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE  50SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 22.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 24.3N  68.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 26.3N  68.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 28.2N  67.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 100SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 140SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 31.4N  65.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 180SE 120SW 140NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 34.9N  64.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 120SW 120NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N  62.6W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 13/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG